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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.26+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.88+1.47vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.37-0.47vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.42vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.37+1.14vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.01-1.03vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia0.26-0.38vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.86-2.69vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.51-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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3.47University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
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2.53Georgetown University2.370.3%1st Place
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5.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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6.14Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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4.97Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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6.02Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 16.5% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 33.3% | 24.1% | 19.0% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 7.1% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 10.5% |
| Laura Smith | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 22.2% |
| Megan Geith | 7.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 6.2% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 27.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.