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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.86+4.30vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+2.69vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.37+3.33vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.44vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.37-2.52vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.76vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.01-2.01vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.51-1.99vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.26-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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4.69George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.33Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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5.44St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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2.48Georgetown University2.370.4%1st Place
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3.24University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
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4.99Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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6.01Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubin Hattendorf | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| Laura Smith | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 23.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 37.0% | 24.3% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 20.4% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Megan Geith | 8.1% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Kennedy Jones | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 18.2% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.