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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+4.59vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.88+1.43vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.86+2.37vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.26+2.39vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.37-2.51vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.37+0.25vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.01-1.98vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26-3.54vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.51-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
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2.49Georgetown University2.370.4%1st Place
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6.25Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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5.02Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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4.46George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.01Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 16.7% | 21.8% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 9.7% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 26.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 36.6% | 24.1% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 21.0% |
| Megan Geith | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 6.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 12.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.