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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.37+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.88+1.44vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.26+1.56vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.48vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.01-0.14vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.510.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.86-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.26-1.50vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.37-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Georgetown University2.370.3%1st Place
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3.44University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
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4.56George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.48St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.86Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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6.0Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
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6.31Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 34.5% | 22.4% | 19.3% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 18.0% | 21.5% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 9.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 12.1% |
| Megan Geith | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 17.3% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 8.1% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 27.5% |
| Laura Smith | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.