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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+1.90vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.00+0.07vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.79vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.52+0.14vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.01-1.07vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.35-2.57vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.70-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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2.07Northeastern University2.000.4%1st Place
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3.79Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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4.14Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
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4.93Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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4.43University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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5.73McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 22.7% | 24.3% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 41.1% | 30.7% | 15.2% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 11.4% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 6.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 7.6% |
| Griffen Horne | 4.9% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 24.5% | 21.6% |
| Sam Harris | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 20.3% | 12.8% |
| Pierre Offredi | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.