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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.00+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.32-0.12vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.24vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.01-0.03vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.83vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.70-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.35-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Northeastern University2.000.4%1st Place
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2.88University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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3.76Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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4.97Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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4.17Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
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5.85McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
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4.28University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 44.2% | 24.1% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 20.7% | 24.9% | 23.0% | 16.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 10.5% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Griffen Horne | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 26.9% | 21.7% |
| Ella Beauregard | 7.9% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 9.0% |
| Pierre Offredi | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 19.7% | 50.7% |
| Sam Harris | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 22.7% | 18.4% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.