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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.00+1.02vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.32-2.17vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.22vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.01-2.22vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.70-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Northeastern University2.000.4%1st Place
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3.63Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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4.32University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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4.78Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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4.78Maine Maritime Academy0.010.1%1st Place
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5.64McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 44.9% | 27.0% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 11.5% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 10.5% | 4.6% |
| Sam Harris | 7.6% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 11.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 22.5% | 24.8% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Hyde | 4.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 24.5% | 17.9% |
| Griffen Horne | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 19.2% | 22.7% | 19.0% |
| Pierre Offredi | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 19.2% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.