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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+1.82vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.00+0.01vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.35+1.30vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.32vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.24vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.01-2.21vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.70-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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2.01Northeastern University2.000.4%1st Place
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4.3University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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3.68Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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4.76Maine Maritime Academy0.060.1%1st Place
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4.79Maine Maritime Academy0.010.1%1st Place
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5.64McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 23.5% | 25.5% | 19.6% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 42.7% | 30.6% | 15.7% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 8.3% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 11.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 11.3% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 3.8% |
| Nathan Hyde | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 23.7% | 18.2% |
| Griffen Horne | 5.2% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 22.2% | 19.1% |
| Pierre Offredi | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.