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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.15+3.57vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-2.55+3.53vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+0.20vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.38+5.70vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.50+1.63vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.54+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.39+0.14vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas0.99-2.65vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.11-0.77vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.31-3.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.27vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.36-0.24vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.06-2.02vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.18-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57University of Washington1.1513.4%1st Place
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5.53University of Washington-2.559.7%1st Place
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3.2University of Washington1.8326.5%1st Place
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9.7Northwestern University-0.382.4%1st Place
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6.63Northeastern University0.506.7%1st Place
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6.58Western Washington University0.547.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Washington-1.395.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Saint Thomas0.9911.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Oregon0.113.9%1st Place
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6.91Western Washington University0.316.2%1st Place
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10.73University of California at Los Angeles-0.960.9%1st Place
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11.76University of Oregon-1.360.9%1st Place
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10.98Western Washington University-1.061.6%1st Place
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7.69University of Washington0.184.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 13.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 26.5% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Warfel | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 9.6% |
| Carter Anderson | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Gerber | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Emily Smith | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Avey | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 19.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 38.3% |
| Peter Hall | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 20.5% | 24.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.