← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.32+1.90vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.00+0.08vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.35+0.42vs Predicted
-
5Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.21vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy0.01-1.07vs Predicted
-
7Maine Maritime Academy0.52-2.84vs Predicted
-
8McGill University-0.70-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.9University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
-
2.08Northeastern University2.000.4%1st Place
-
4.42University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
-
3.79Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
-
4.93Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
-
4.16Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
-
5.73McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 22.8% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 40.8% | 30.8% | 15.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 8.2% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 12.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 10.9% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 19.7% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 4.8% |
| Griffen Horne | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 24.9% | 21.7% |
| Ella Beauregard | 8.9% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 9.5% |
| Pierre Offredi | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.