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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+1.91vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.00+0.05vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.77vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.35-0.57vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.70-0.11vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.01-2.06vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.52-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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2.05Northeastern University2.000.4%1st Place
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3.77Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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4.43University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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5.89McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
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4.94Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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4.01Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 23.0% | 22.4% | 21.6% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 41.4% | 30.6% | 16.0% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 11.6% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 5.6% |
| Sam Harris | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 20.6% | 21.9% | 11.2% |
| Pierre Offredi | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 19.2% | 52.4% |
| Griffen Horne | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 21.9% |
| Ella Beauregard | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 21.0% | 15.4% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.