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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.00+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.32-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+0.30vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.01-0.13vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.30vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.70-1.25vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.06-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Northeastern University2.000.5%1st Place
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2.8University of Vermont1.320.2%1st Place
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4.3University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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4.87Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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3.7Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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5.75McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
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4.58Maine Maritime Academy0.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 45.4% | 25.8% | 17.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 21.7% | 27.2% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Sam Harris | 7.3% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 10.2% |
| Griffen Horne | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 24.5% | 19.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 10.6% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| Pierre Offredi | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 19.5% | 47.9% |
| Nathan Hyde | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 21.3% | 22.1% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.