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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.54+3.01vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+5.21vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.74+2.92vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79-0.52vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90+0.61vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-0.52vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.73vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.55-3.98vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.29-1.80vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-1.08+2.75vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-1.08+1.75vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.81-3.45vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.18-2.69vs Predicted
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14American University-1.20-0.98vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.54-3.31vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.29-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Georgetown University2.540.2%1st Place
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7.21Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.92Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.48Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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5.61George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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4.02U. S. Naval Academy2.550.2%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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12.75Virginia Tech-1.080.0%1st Place
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12.75Virginia Tech-1.080.0%1st Place
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8.55Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.31William and Mary0.180.0%1st Place
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13.02American University-1.200.0%1st Place
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11.69Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 17.0% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 21.1% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 16.3% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 22.9% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 22.9% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 17.9% | 24.3% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 24.1% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.