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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.90+4.48vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.54+1.91vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79+0.45vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+3.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.55-0.89vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-0.55vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.74-0.99vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.81+0.52vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.54+2.71vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-2.15vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.18-0.92vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.08+0.85vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.08-0.15vs Predicted
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14American University-1.20-0.97vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-1.29-1.93vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.29-8.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.91Georgetown University2.540.2%1st Place
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3.45Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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7.31Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.11U. S. Naval Academy2.550.2%1st Place
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5.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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6.01Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.52Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.71Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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10.08William and Mary0.180.0%1st Place
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12.85Virginia Tech-1.080.0%1st Place
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12.85Virginia Tech-1.080.0%1st Place
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13.03American University-1.200.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 17.1% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 22.1% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 15.3% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 20.6% | 23.1% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 20.6% | 23.1% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 25.3% | 30.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 25.0% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.