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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.90+4.43vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+5.09vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81+5.28vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79-0.54vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.54-0.96vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-0.63vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.74-1.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.55-4.02vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.06+1.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.29-2.79vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-3.35vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.08+0.37vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.08-0.63vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-1.29-1.35vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.54-3.68vs Predicted
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16American University-4.01-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.09Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.28Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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3.46Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.04Georgetown University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.37St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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5.93Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Naval Academy2.550.2%1st Place
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10.41William and Mary-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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12.37Virginia Tech-1.080.0%1st Place
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12.37Virginia Tech-1.080.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
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11.32Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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14.8American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 21.4% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 16.5% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.7% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 17.2% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 19.2% | 21.4% | 14.8% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 27.4% | 32.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 27.4% | 32.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 24.6% | 41.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 23.4% | 22.8% | 13.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 4.8% | 91.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.