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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+2.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+1.86vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+4.13vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+1.49vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95+0.51vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.54-2.02vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.74-1.11vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-0.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.29-1.93vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.81-1.59vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.06-0.60vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-1.29+0.69vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.08-0.65vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-1.08-1.65vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.54-3.72vs Predicted
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16American University-4.01-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Naval Academy2.550.2%1st Place
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7.13Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.49George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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3.98Georgetown University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.89Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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8.41Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.4William and Mary-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.69University of Maryland-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.35Virginia Tech-1.080.0%1st Place
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12.35Virginia Tech-1.080.0%1st Place
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11.28Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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14.8American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 22.1% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 16.3% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 15.1% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 9.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 15.3% | 6.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 26.7% | 40.4% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 26.5% | 33.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 26.5% | 33.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 24.0% | 22.5% | 13.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 91.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.