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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+2.44vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+1.55vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.07+3.93vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.47+1.02vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+0.14vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28-0.55vs Predicted
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8Hampton University-0.13+2.14vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.56-3.32vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.89-2.38vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.58+0.20vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-0.58-0.55vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43+0.07vs Predicted
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14American University-1.07-1.75vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-1.02-2.85vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-1.43-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.55Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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6.93Old Dominion University1.070.1%1st Place
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3.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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6.45Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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10.14Hampton University-0.130.0%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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7.62George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.2William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Maryland-0.580.0%1st Place
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13.07Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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12.25American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.15Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.07Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 21.7% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 19.9% | 21.0% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 17.4% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 21.3% | 37.3% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 21.3% | 37.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.