← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University0.89+6.40vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.55+1.37vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy1.47+2.87vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.45-0.35vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy1.56+0.79vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary-0.58+5.21vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.28-0.58vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-1.86vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland-0.58+2.24vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.07-2.88vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University-0.13-0.84vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-7.92vs Predicted
-
13American University-1.07-0.55vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University-1.02-1.78vs Predicted
-
15Virginia Tech-1.43-2.12vs Predicted
-
16Virginia Tech-1.43-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.4George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
-
3.37Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
-
5.87U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
-
3.65Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
-
5.79U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
-
11.21William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
-
6.42Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
-
11.24University of Maryland-0.580.0%1st Place
-
7.12Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
-
10.16Hampton University-0.130.0%1st Place
-
4.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
-
12.45American University-1.070.0%1st Place
-
12.22Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
-
12.88Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
-
12.88Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tryg van Wyk | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 22.3% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 19.8% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 15.4% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 20.5% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.