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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.47+4.63vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+1.46vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.89+4.21vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.07+2.87vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.56+0.66vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55-2.67vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-3.22vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.58+3.12vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.49-0.61vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.96+1.98vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-1.43+1.89vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-5.87vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43-0.11vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.66-2.55vs Predicted
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15American University-1.07-2.81vs Predicted
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16Hampton University-0.13-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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3.46Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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7.21George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.87Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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5.66U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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3.33Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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11.12University of Maryland-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University0.490.0%1st Place
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11.98William and Mary-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.89Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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12.89Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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11.45Christopher Newport University-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.19American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.93Hampton University-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh Carty | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 21.1% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 20.9% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 18.7% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Friedauer | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth van der Voort | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 19.2% | 37.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 19.2% | 37.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.