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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+2.54vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.07+4.71vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+0.27vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+1.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.56+0.64vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.25vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.58+4.03vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.47-2.16vs Predicted
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9American University-1.07+3.22vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.89-2.62vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.96+0.94vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.49-3.41vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43+0.02vs Predicted
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14Hampton University-0.13-4.01vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.66-3.78vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-1.43-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Georgetown University2.450.2%1st Place
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6.71Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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3.27Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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5.86St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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3.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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11.03University of Maryland-0.580.0%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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12.22American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.38George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.94William and Mary-0.960.0%1st Place
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8.59Old Dominion University0.490.0%1st Place
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13.02Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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9.99Hampton University-0.130.0%1st Place
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11.22Christopher Newport University-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.02Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 20.1% | 19.8% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 24.2% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 16.6% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth van der Voort | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Emma Friedauer | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 21.9% | 37.5% | 0.0% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 21.9% | 37.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.