Race 1A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Simpson 7.7% 11.5% 12.9% 12.1% 14.7% 15.3% 11.7% 8.1% 4.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Rowan Barnes 9.5% 12.5% 11.6% 14.0% 12.1% 11.6% 13.1% 9.5% 5.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 14.5% 18.0% 17.1% 13.0% 13.3% 10.9% 6.4% 4.8% 1.7% 0.1% 0.2%
Kenneth Buck 9.1% 9.5% 10.3% 12.4% 14.4% 13.1% 13.8% 8.5% 7.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Robert Chase 35.6% 24.0% 16.5% 11.2% 6.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Torin Stremlau 1.7% 2.4% 3.9% 5.1% 4.9% 5.5% 9.4% 14.6% 28.0% 19.5% 5.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 7.9% 7.3% 8.7% 11.3% 11.6% 11.4% 13.4% 14.6% 9.7% 3.8% 0.3%
Emma Pope 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 1.1% 1.8% 3.1% 6.3% 27.6% 57.0%
Noah Jost 8.5% 7.8% 10.4% 10.4% 11.4% 13.5% 12.5% 13.5% 9.2% 2.5% 0.3%
Matthew Blessington 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 3.0% 5.3% 12.0% 36.2% 36.0%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 4.6% 5.9% 7.1% 8.1% 9.5% 10.8% 13.5% 17.4% 15.5% 6.7% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.