Race 2A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Simpson 8.3% 10.7% 12.9% 11.5% 13.5% 13.9% 14.1% 9.5% 3.6% 2.0% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 9.7% 9.8% 12.7% 13.1% 11.1% 12.6% 13.1% 10.5% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Robert Chase 30.5% 25.9% 16.3% 13.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 16.7% 15.3% 16.3% 15.3% 13.5% 10.6% 6.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 7.0% 7.6% 8.9% 9.9% 9.3% 10.8% 14.2% 15.7% 12.5% 3.8% 0.3%
Rowan Barnes 10.2% 10.8% 12.7% 13.5% 12.1% 13.5% 9.3% 10.4% 5.7% 1.6% 0.2%
Torin Stremlau 2.9% 4.2% 2.2% 4.2% 6.6% 6.7% 8.6% 13.6% 29.3% 17.5% 4.2%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.5% 4.5% 5.9% 8.4% 9.7% 11.3% 14.2% 15.7% 16.7% 6.6% 1.5%
Emma Pope 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 6.6% 23.9% 59.9%
Matthew Blessington 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 3.1% 5.0% 10.4% 41.2% 33.3%
Noah Jost 8.3% 9.6% 10.6% 9.4% 14.1% 13.6% 13.5% 11.3% 7.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.