Race 3A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Robert Chase 32.9% 25.0% 16.5% 12.9% 7.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 9.4% 9.9% 10.5% 13.5% 14.0% 13.7% 11.2% 10.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 15.1% 16.5% 16.7% 14.1% 14.0% 9.9% 7.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Simpson 9.1% 10.6% 11.4% 12.3% 14.4% 12.0% 13.0% 9.9% 5.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Rowan Barnes 10.5% 11.4% 13.1% 11.9% 11.8% 13.2% 11.5% 10.4% 4.3% 1.9% 0.0%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 4.3% 4.9% 7.1% 6.6% 8.5% 12.0% 13.4% 17.6% 17.0% 6.8% 1.8%
Ian Hoogenboom 7.0% 8.8% 8.2% 10.3% 10.7% 14.2% 14.2% 13.8% 9.5% 2.8% 0.5%
Noah Jost 8.2% 8.8% 11.1% 12.8% 11.5% 11.7% 13.3% 10.9% 9.8% 1.3% 0.6%
Matthew Blessington 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 3.1% 4.6% 9.1% 38.7% 37.2%
Torin Stremlau 2.3% 2.9% 3.9% 4.2% 4.8% 7.1% 9.3% 13.9% 29.8% 17.1% 4.7%
Emma Pope 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 1.0% 2.0% 3.7% 7.7% 27.6% 55.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.