Race 4A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rowan Barnes 8.4% 10.0% 12.3% 13.5% 14.4% 13.9% 11.7% 10.3% 4.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 18.2% 16.8% 16.5% 14.7% 13.0% 8.8% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Robert Chase 32.3% 24.9% 17.7% 11.2% 7.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 7.9% 10.6% 10.6% 11.1% 14.1% 14.4% 12.3% 10.8% 6.4% 1.7% 0.1%
Ian Hoogenboom 6.8% 7.2% 8.2% 10.5% 10.8% 12.1% 13.4% 14.3% 12.1% 4.3% 0.3%
Noah Jost 7.5% 9.3% 9.9% 11.1% 12.6% 13.1% 12.0% 13.1% 8.7% 2.3% 0.4%
Andrew Simpson 10.6% 13.3% 13.5% 14.0% 12.4% 10.4% 10.4% 9.0% 5.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Torin Stremlau 2.8% 2.0% 2.6% 4.4% 6.3% 7.0% 11.0% 15.3% 25.0% 18.8% 4.8%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 4.5% 5.2% 6.7% 7.7% 6.8% 11.7% 14.6% 15.4% 18.6% 7.0% 1.8%
Emma Pope 0.3% 0.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% 1.7% 2.5% 3.1% 8.3% 22.8% 58.9%
Matthew Blessington 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 2.6% 3.5% 4.8% 10.2% 40.4% 33.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.