Race 5A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ian Hoogenboom 4.7% 7.1% 7.9% 11.1% 10.3% 14.0% 14.2% 16.1% 10.8% 3.5% 0.3%
Rowan Barnes 10.1% 10.8% 13.5% 12.1% 13.3% 13.9% 10.1% 10.2% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Robert Chase 31.7% 25.8% 17.2% 11.8% 7.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 8.7% 8.9% 10.6% 11.7% 14.1% 15.3% 12.3% 9.5% 6.8% 2.0% 0.1%
Andrew Simpson 10.5% 11.4% 12.4% 13.1% 13.7% 10.7% 11.6% 9.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.1%
Nilah Miller 17.1% 17.9% 16.6% 15.6% 11.7% 7.9% 6.1% 4.6% 2.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Noah Jost 8.6% 10.2% 10.7% 12.2% 11.9% 11.9% 13.8% 10.4% 7.7% 2.5% 0.1%
Torin Stremlau 2.8% 1.8% 3.3% 4.1% 6.0% 8.1% 9.6% 15.5% 25.6% 18.5% 4.7%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 4.5% 5.4% 5.8% 7.0% 9.1% 10.8% 14.1% 16.3% 18.3% 6.8% 1.9%
Matthew Blessington 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 0.8% 2.0% 1.6% 4.0% 5.0% 11.0% 37.7% 35.5%
Emma Pope 0.7% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 2.6% 2.9% 6.8% 26.3% 57.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.