Race 6A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nilah Miller 14.3% 17.0% 18.6% 14.9% 14.4% 10.6% 5.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Rowan Barnes 9.4% 11.6% 12.1% 13.6% 13.8% 12.6% 10.8% 10.1% 4.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 6.3% 5.7% 9.1% 8.0% 12.4% 11.8% 14.1% 15.7% 12.0% 4.7% 0.2%
Kenneth Buck 7.5% 10.7% 10.9% 12.2% 12.6% 14.0% 13.1% 10.3% 6.8% 1.7% 0.2%
Noah Jost 7.8% 10.8% 9.0% 10.7% 12.5% 11.2% 14.3% 12.5% 8.1% 2.9% 0.2%
Andrew Simpson 9.1% 12.0% 12.4% 13.6% 13.0% 12.2% 12.2% 7.2% 6.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Robert Chase 37.5% 22.8% 17.3% 12.0% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.1% 4.7% 6.2% 7.6% 9.8% 12.1% 15.1% 15.5% 17.0% 5.5% 1.4%
Emma Pope 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 3.5% 6.3% 22.5% 61.4%
Torin Stremlau 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 5.6% 3.8% 8.4% 9.0% 15.5% 28.1% 16.5% 4.7%
Matthew Blessington 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 3.1% 3.0% 5.4% 8.8% 43.4% 31.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.