Race 1B

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Benjamin Usher 52.6% 28.5% 11.7% 5.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Ringel 6.3% 10.0% 10.7% 14.1% 15.1% 12.4% 12.2% 10.1% 6.1% 2.5% 0.5%
Kathleen Hale 10.8% 16.2% 18.9% 15.3% 14.6% 9.8% 8.6% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Samantha Bialek 7.4% 11.5% 14.0% 14.4% 14.8% 13.5% 10.6% 8.1% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Henry Parker 7.9% 12.5% 12.9% 13.8% 13.1% 13.1% 10.4% 9.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.0%
Julia Brighton 3.2% 6.9% 8.2% 9.7% 12.0% 12.6% 14.2% 13.2% 11.6% 6.6% 1.8%
Trevin Brown 5.5% 6.5% 9.1% 10.5% 9.9% 15.9% 12.6% 15.6% 9.3% 4.0% 1.1%
Sam Woodley 3.8% 4.3% 7.5% 8.4% 11.3% 10.1% 13.8% 14.8% 15.3% 8.7% 2.0%
Garrett Holt 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 2.6% 3.3% 4.7% 10.3% 20.5% 53.0%
Joey Dunn 1.0% 2.1% 4.2% 3.7% 3.9% 6.3% 8.0% 12.1% 20.8% 26.5% 11.4%
Kate Pierce 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.3% 6.2% 7.2% 16.2% 28.0% 30.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.