Race 2B

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kathleen Hale 10.3% 18.4% 18.1% 14.9% 14.5% 13.4% 5.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Benjamin Usher 52.8% 26.0% 13.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Parker 6.9% 9.6% 13.2% 14.4% 13.3% 14.5% 13.0% 8.8% 4.5% 1.8% 0.0%
Sam Woodley 2.7% 4.8% 5.8% 8.7% 7.9% 11.1% 14.8% 16.4% 15.5% 9.4% 2.9%
Trevin Brown 4.7% 6.9% 8.4% 10.0% 11.8% 11.9% 13.6% 16.1% 9.6% 6.4% 0.6%
Ryan Ringel 6.2% 10.4% 12.7% 12.1% 13.6% 13.0% 12.6% 9.1% 7.4% 2.2% 0.7%
Julia Brighton 5.4% 7.1% 8.2% 10.8% 12.5% 11.0% 14.9% 13.7% 9.9% 5.3% 1.2%
Samantha Bialek 8.6% 13.3% 14.6% 16.1% 14.3% 12.2% 10.2% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Joey Dunn 1.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.9% 4.1% 5.9% 6.8% 12.2% 23.7% 23.0% 14.0%
Kate Pierce 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 2.5% 3.6% 4.3% 4.7% 7.9% 13.9% 28.7% 31.3%
Garrett Holt 0.4% 0.3% 1.3% 1.4% 2.5% 2.1% 4.2% 5.6% 11.1% 22.2% 48.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.