Race 3B

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Benjamin Usher 51.9% 28.1% 11.8% 6.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Samantha Bialek 8.3% 12.2% 14.5% 16.0% 15.9% 12.0% 9.1% 7.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Kathleen Hale 10.8% 15.8% 18.5% 16.6% 13.9% 10.0% 8.3% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Ringel 6.1% 8.6% 11.0% 12.3% 13.4% 15.7% 13.9% 9.6% 6.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Trevin Brown 5.0% 7.0% 8.1% 10.0% 11.3% 12.9% 12.9% 15.0% 10.8% 6.4% 0.6%
Sam Woodley 2.9% 4.9% 6.9% 7.4% 8.9% 11.6% 15.4% 15.6% 13.0% 10.2% 3.2%
Julia Brighton 5.3% 6.7% 8.7% 10.1% 12.1% 13.8% 13.3% 13.2% 10.4% 5.2% 1.2%
Henry Parker 7.3% 12.5% 14.1% 15.0% 13.8% 12.2% 10.7% 7.8% 5.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Joey Dunn 1.3% 2.6% 3.4% 2.9% 4.0% 5.0% 8.7% 12.2% 22.7% 23.2% 14.0%
Kate Pierce 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 5.3% 8.3% 14.6% 28.3% 31.4%
Garrett Holt 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 1.2% 2.2% 3.2% 2.3% 6.5% 11.4% 22.2% 48.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.