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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.31+5.77vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.15+2.38vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.54+3.34vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.11+4.06vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.83-1.96vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.50+0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.06+1.14vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.38+1.54vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.18-1.57vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas0.99-4.74vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-1.39-4.04vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.36-0.60vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.06-2.17vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Western Washington University0.316.0%1st Place
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4.38University of Washington1.1516.5%1st Place
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6.34Western Washington University0.548.3%1st Place
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8.06University of Oregon0.113.2%1st Place
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3.04University of Washington1.8327.4%1st Place
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6.45Northeastern University0.506.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Washington-0.064.0%1st Place
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9.54Northwestern University-0.382.7%1st Place
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7.43University of Washington0.185.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Saint Thomas0.9910.8%1st Place
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6.96University of Washington-1.396.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Oregon-1.361.0%1st Place
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10.83Western Washington University-1.061.5%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Nairn | 16.5% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Emily Avey | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Benjamin Stone | 27.4% | 23.4% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| George Warfel | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 9.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Bartel | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Smith | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 35.3% |
| Peter Hall | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 20.1% | 23.9% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.