Race 4B

saisa-north-fall-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Benjamin Usher 38.8% 27.3% 16.5% 11.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Tollefson 14.8% 17.9% 19.7% 15.9% 12.9% 9.0% 5.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Ringel 4.7% 5.3% 6.7% 8.3% 11.5% 14.6% 14.6% 16.6% 11.9% 5.3% 0.5%
Mason Baird 16.3% 17.8% 19.8% 16.4% 14.1% 8.5% 4.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Kathleen Hale 9.3% 11.2% 12.5% 16.0% 13.3% 13.7% 12.6% 6.6% 4.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Julia Brighton 2.9% 3.3% 5.4% 6.2% 9.2% 12.1% 14.5% 16.8% 17.2% 10.0% 2.4%
Lauren Cranidiotis 3.6% 4.6% 4.6% 6.3% 9.4% 12.3% 13.6% 18.1% 15.9% 10.2% 1.4%
Samantha Bialek 5.9% 7.8% 10.7% 12.4% 15.8% 13.0% 14.1% 9.7% 8.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Sam Woodley 2.6% 3.9% 2.7% 5.1% 6.2% 10.0% 12.0% 17.8% 20.7% 13.4% 5.6%
Garrett Holt 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 2.0% 1.6% 3.9% 3.1% 8.9% 23.1% 55.5%
Kate Pierce 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 3.6% 4.1% 5.7% 11.3% 35.8% 34.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.