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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+1.22vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.48+1.40vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.58+2.60vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34-0.20vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.84+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-1.24-0.38vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.20-3.40vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.27-2.06vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.95-0.50vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.34-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22North Carolina State University1.310.4%1st Place
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3.4Clemson University0.480.2%1st Place
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5.6Clemson University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.8The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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5.97Duke University-0.840.1%1st Place
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7.38University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.62University of North Carolina-1.240.0%1st Place
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4.6University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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6.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Tennessee-2.950.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Georgia-3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 38.4% | 27.2% | 17.9% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Baird | 17.7% | 20.0% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 13.3% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 22.0% | 14.6% | 4.0% |
| Julia Brighton | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 2.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Cranidiotis | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 3.6% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 12.9% | 32.6% | 35.9% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 25.7% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.