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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.48+2.44vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.31+0.17vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.58+2.59vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34-0.20vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.84+0.99vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.27-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-1.24-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.20-4.25vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.95-0.47vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.34-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Clemson University0.480.2%1st Place
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2.17North Carolina State University1.310.4%1st Place
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5.59Clemson University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.8The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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5.99Duke University-0.840.1%1st Place
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7.38University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.7University of North Carolina-1.240.0%1st Place
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4.75University of North Carolina-0.200.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Tennessee-2.950.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Georgia-3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Baird | 15.7% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 40.6% | 26.8% | 17.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 13.4% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 4.5% |
| Lauren Cranidiotis | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Julia Brighton | 3.8% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 1.5% |
| Kathleen Hale | 8.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kate Pierce | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 32.5% | 36.7% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 25.7% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.