← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami2.66+1.74vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.10+0.28vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University0.97+2.49vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.65+0.19vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University2.01-1.38vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.01+0.77vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College0.48-0.82vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.27-3.11vs Predicted
-
9University of South Carolina-2.94-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.74University of Miami2.660.3%1st Place
-
2.28College of Charleston3.100.4%1st Place
-
5.49Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
-
4.19Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
-
3.62North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
-
6.77Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
-
6.18Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
-
4.89University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
-
8.85University of South Carolina-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 26.0% | 23.0% | 21.8% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 35.4% | 28.0% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 22.1% | 13.3% | 0.6% |
| Emily Allen | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 14.5% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 20.8% | 45.6% | 3.0% |
| Carter Morin | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 25.3% | 26.5% | 2.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 6.7% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Crandall | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 93.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.