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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.31+6.04vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.54+4.51vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-2.55+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.15+0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.83-1.90vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.50+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.18+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas0.99-2.58vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.39-1.81vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.06+0.88vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.11-2.64vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-1.32vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.36-1.45vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.38-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Western Washington University0.316.2%1st Place
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6.51Western Washington University0.547.2%1st Place
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5.67University of Washington-2.559.2%1st Place
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4.65University of Washington1.1514.6%1st Place
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3.1University of Washington1.8326.9%1st Place
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6.69Northeastern University0.506.5%1st Place
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7.57University of Washington0.185.3%1st Place
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5.42University of Saint Thomas0.9910.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Washington-1.395.2%1st Place
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10.88Western Washington University-1.061.3%1st Place
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8.36University of Oregon0.113.6%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.2%1st Place
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11.55University of Oregon-1.360.8%1st Place
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9.7Northwestern University-0.382.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Miller | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Nairn | 14.6% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 26.9% | 21.3% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Rachel Bartel | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Smith | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Peter Hall | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 20.4% | 22.7% |
| Emily Avey | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 19.9% | 19.7% |
| Molly McLeod | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 37.1% |
| George Warfel | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.