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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+8.93vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+8.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.38+5.20vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+1.99vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+2.91vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-0.44vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.55+0.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05+1.14vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.66-2.15vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.13-0.78vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.64-0.16vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.51-4.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.02vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-5.52vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University2.38-3.31vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.41-8.10vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.21-0.49vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-0.77-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.93Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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5.99Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.3Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.14Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.85Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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9.22Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.84University of Rhode Island2.640.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.69Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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16.51Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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17.32Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Pedrick | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Foster | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ike Babbitt | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 12.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Drew Shea | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Marshall | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Burd | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| John Renehan | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 7.2% | 0.6% |
| John Meleney | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 55.3% | 27.7% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 21.4% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.