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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.11vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.66vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+2.18vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83+3.10vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.62+2.86vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.25+3.05vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.08+5.09vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-1.43vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44-0.66vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.74+0.65vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.08-1.38vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.07-5.39vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.55-7.83vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.46-8.87vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.97-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.1Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.57Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.65Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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5.17Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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5.13Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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13.87McGill University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 30.3% | 19.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 6.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Weaver | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 14.9% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.