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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.04vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.07+3.33vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.08+8.11vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.25+4.06vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.62+1.89vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.83+0.05vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.74+2.53vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.46-3.87vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44-1.50vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.55-5.91vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-5.26vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.08-3.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-8.79vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.97-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.53Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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5.13Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.5Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.09Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.74Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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13.86McGill University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 29.5% | 19.7% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 6.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Young | 13.3% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 3.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Weaver | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 15.3% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.