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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.03vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+3.41vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83+3.16vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.55+0.04vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+2.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.08+1.59vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.46-3.88vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.74+0.62vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.62-3.18vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.25-2.73vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.07-6.43vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-1.84vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.97-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.41Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.16Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.04Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.51Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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5.12Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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13.88McGill University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Young | 13.3% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 6.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 31.8% | 18.8% |
| Katherine Weaver | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 15.8% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.