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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.62+6.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.46+3.01vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.07+3.33vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.21vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.91vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+0.53vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.25+2.03vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.83-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.08+0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.08+2.26vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.74-0.45vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.44-3.35vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-7.58vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-9.09vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.97-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.01Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.53Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.15Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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10.55Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.65Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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4.91Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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13.86McGill University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Christine Reimer | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 1.8% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 32.4% | 19.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 7.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Weaver | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 15.3% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.