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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.46+4.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.15vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.74+6.53vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.08+3.60vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.26vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08+4.18vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.62-1.24vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.83-2.76vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.25-1.90vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.55-6.87vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.07-6.38vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.44-5.63vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.97-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.53Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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6.58Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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12.18University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.24Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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5.13Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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13.89McGill University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 13.4% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 6.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 32.4% | 19.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Young | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Katherine Weaver | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 14.3% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.