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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+5.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.62+4.72vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.25+5.07vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.91vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.22vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.46-1.83vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.55-3.06vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.07-2.73vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.08+2.22vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.83-3.83vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.74-1.23vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.44-4.41vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.97-0.04vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.08-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.17Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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4.94Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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12.22University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.17Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.77Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.59Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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13.96McGill University-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 12.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 30.4% | 20.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 5.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Weaver | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 15.7% | 65.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.