Race 9A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Brielle Willoughby 13.4% 14.3% 10.6% 10.6% 9.6% 9.5% 7.1% 8.1% 5.4% 4.0% 3.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Brooke Schmelz 9.0% 9.6% 11.0% 8.3% 10.0% 8.5% 9.0% 7.8% 6.4% 7.7% 4.8% 4.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Lucy Brock 7.8% 7.1% 8.5% 9.7% 6.4% 8.0% 9.5% 8.3% 9.4% 8.6% 6.9% 4.2% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Taylor Eastman 9.0% 9.2% 8.1% 8.8% 8.1% 8.3% 9.2% 8.3% 9.3% 6.8% 6.0% 4.6% 2.3% 1.9% 0.1%
Emily Bornarth 12.0% 12.9% 9.1% 11.3% 11.2% 10.6% 7.6% 7.6% 5.4% 4.2% 4.0% 2.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Ella Hubbard 4.8% 6.4% 5.6% 6.0% 6.4% 7.3% 7.6% 8.7% 9.7% 10.1% 7.9% 8.8% 6.7% 3.4% 0.6%
Sarah Young 14.6% 12.1% 13.0% 12.1% 10.7% 9.0% 6.6% 6.8% 4.6% 5.0% 2.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Eva Ermlich 8.7% 7.7% 9.7% 7.5% 8.9% 7.6% 9.3% 8.2% 7.5% 8.8% 6.1% 5.1% 3.0% 1.8% 0.1%
Christine Reimer 3.4% 3.0% 4.7% 4.2% 4.9% 7.4% 6.8% 5.5% 8.5% 9.9% 9.6% 12.0% 11.0% 7.3% 1.8%
Tiare Sierra 4.4% 3.7% 4.9% 5.4% 6.1% 6.5% 6.6% 8.8% 7.4% 10.2% 10.2% 9.3% 9.4% 6.0% 1.1%
Emily Mueller 6.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.0% 8.5% 6.7% 8.2% 7.1% 9.8% 7.5% 7.9% 6.4% 5.7% 2.3% 0.8%
Katherine McGagh 2.2% 1.7% 1.7% 2.6% 2.5% 3.5% 4.3% 5.4% 6.3% 5.2% 8.5% 13.0% 18.5% 18.7% 5.9%
Leah Rickard 2.7% 2.8% 4.0% 4.4% 4.0% 4.1% 5.7% 5.5% 5.7% 6.1% 12.7% 13.8% 13.7% 11.5% 3.3%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.0% 1.4% 0.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 4.3% 6.8% 9.2% 14.6% 28.0% 20.7%
Katherine Weaver 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 2.6% 2.7% 4.7% 16.2% 65.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.