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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+6.68vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.64+9.09vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+7.48vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+3.83vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+3.64vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.66+0.87vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90+2.74vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.89-2.02vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.05+0.24vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University2.38+1.89vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.72vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-6.16vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.55-5.82vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.41-6.45vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.38-7.11vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.77+1.36vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.03-0.31vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.13-9.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Rhode Island2.640.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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7.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.87Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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9.74Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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5.98Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.24Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.89Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.84St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.18Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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17.36Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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16.69Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.75Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Factor | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lyle Fielding | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Matt Foster | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ike Babbitt | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Marshall | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 10.7% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 6.3% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 25.0% | 67.8% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 54.3% | 31.2% |
| Trevor Burd | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.