Race 2B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Lauren Russler 13.4% 13.7% 12.3% 11.6% 10.0% 10.7% 8.1% 6.7% 4.5% 4.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Caitlin Derby 2.7% 2.3% 3.6% 4.1% 4.4% 4.6% 7.0% 8.3% 8.7% 8.0% 9.9% 13.6% 11.4% 8.1% 3.3%
Brooke Barry 6.5% 6.5% 5.3% 8.0% 7.8% 7.7% 9.7% 9.6% 9.7% 10.3% 7.2% 6.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.1%
Julia Conneely 8.0% 7.1% 9.9% 9.5% 9.7% 8.5% 8.1% 10.3% 8.9% 7.8% 5.9% 3.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Tessa Hason 1.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.7% 4.0% 3.9% 5.0% 8.8% 8.5% 12.3% 24.5% 20.7%
Ava Hurwitz 3.0% 3.1% 3.0% 3.8% 4.7% 4.3% 5.2% 5.9% 9.0% 10.2% 12.1% 12.3% 12.5% 8.3% 2.6%
Samantha Jensen 4.9% 4.4% 5.2% 5.6% 5.7% 5.8% 9.5% 8.7% 9.5% 11.0% 10.5% 7.7% 6.5% 4.0% 1.0%
Katherine McNamara 11.6% 12.1% 10.5% 10.0% 10.9% 11.3% 8.8% 5.8% 8.3% 5.2% 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ariana Schwartz 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.9% 2.5% 3.4% 3.1% 6.0% 6.2% 7.7% 10.6% 13.4% 15.8% 15.6% 7.9%
Lucy Meagher 9.9% 13.3% 11.1% 11.6% 11.3% 11.5% 8.1% 7.4% 5.5% 5.0% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
bella casaretto 16.9% 17.6% 14.5% 9.9% 10.2% 8.5% 8.1% 5.1% 4.7% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Sylvia Burns 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2.9% 3.4% 6.1% 5.9% 6.5% 9.9% 12.5% 17.3% 16.0% 10.4%
Katharine Doble 14.5% 11.6% 14.1% 13.4% 10.2% 10.8% 8.3% 6.9% 4.6% 3.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Wang 3.9% 3.7% 5.2% 5.7% 6.8% 6.6% 8.3% 8.1% 8.1% 10.8% 11.2% 10.5% 7.5% 2.9% 0.7%
Danielle Bogacheva 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 2.5% 2.4% 4.1% 5.4% 7.8% 17.9% 53.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.