Race 5B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Brooke Barry 6.6% 6.0% 8.2% 6.8% 7.2% 8.5% 8.3% 11.1% 9.3% 8.2% 8.2% 6.1% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
Julia Conneely 6.7% 9.3% 9.6% 9.6% 7.7% 9.9% 9.6% 9.7% 8.0% 9.4% 4.5% 3.0% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1%
bella casaretto 18.5% 14.7% 14.4% 14.6% 10.3% 8.5% 6.2% 6.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ariana Schwartz 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 2.3% 3.9% 4.1% 4.8% 7.5% 7.8% 9.8% 12.0% 14.8% 16.1% 9.1%
Katharine Doble 14.3% 15.5% 10.8% 11.9% 12.0% 9.4% 8.5% 6.8% 4.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Russler 12.9% 11.2% 12.9% 12.4% 11.2% 10.2% 9.5% 6.1% 5.0% 5.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Lucy Meagher 12.9% 13.4% 11.4% 9.6% 11.6% 10.2% 7.6% 7.6% 6.0% 5.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Samantha Jensen 4.4% 4.1% 4.2% 5.8% 7.1% 6.1% 9.0% 8.5% 9.3% 9.7% 11.5% 9.5% 6.7% 3.4% 0.7%
Ava Hurwitz 2.2% 2.4% 3.0% 3.9% 4.1% 5.1% 7.5% 6.8% 9.7% 10.7% 11.7% 10.8% 12.4% 6.8% 2.9%
Katherine McNamara 10.1% 11.5% 11.5% 10.6% 11.2% 10.4% 9.8% 7.7% 7.3% 4.4% 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Emma Wang 4.1% 4.7% 4.6% 4.9% 6.2% 7.1% 8.0% 8.1% 9.0% 9.3% 10.3% 10.0% 8.2% 4.1% 1.4%
Tessa Hason 1.3% 0.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 6.0% 8.2% 11.0% 15.1% 23.3% 20.5%
Caitlin Derby 2.2% 2.4% 3.7% 3.0% 4.4% 4.1% 5.4% 6.9% 7.4% 10.3% 12.0% 13.6% 11.1% 9.4% 4.1%
Danielle Bogacheva 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 2.6% 2.2% 3.8% 6.2% 9.8% 16.7% 51.9%
Sylvia Burns 1.6% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 3.8% 3.3% 4.6% 7.2% 6.7% 10.1% 12.8% 14.9% 17.1% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.