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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+6.06vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.60+7.29vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+5.28vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+1.12vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43-0.78vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13-1.06vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02+1.19vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-3.45vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.01-3.84vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.31+1.91vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.12-0.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-5.42vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.14-2.04vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-4.50vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.11-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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5.12Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.22Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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4.94Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.55Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.16Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.91McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.36Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Barry | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Emma Wang | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 18.3% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 14.5% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tessa Hason | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 25.1% | 18.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 10.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 10.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 16.7% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.