← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.01+4.17vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.13+2.79vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.43+1.13vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.06+1.11vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+3.32vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.29-1.51vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+0.20vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island0.14+2.73vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College0.60+0.41vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University0.12+0.87vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.57-1.40vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.02-3.54vs Predicted
-
13Boston University-1.11+0.52vs Predicted
-
14McGill University-0.31-2.14vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-8.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.17Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
4.79Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
4.13Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
-
5.11Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
4.49Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
-
10.73University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
9.41Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
-
10.87Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
9.6University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
8.46Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
13.52Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
-
11.86McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
-
6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.7% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 18.4% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 14.4% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 8.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 9.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 4.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 15.5% | 56.1% |
| Tessa Hason | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 23.4% | 17.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.