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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+1.46vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.75vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.18-1.33vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.62vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Cornell University2.320.3%1st Place
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3.75University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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3.54Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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2.67University of Pennsylvania2.180.3%1st Place
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4.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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5.75Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 34.6% | 24.0% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 11.2% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 13.3% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 3.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 27.8% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Brook Wood | 6.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 22.2% | 20.5% | 11.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 27.6% | 31.4% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 22.4% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.