← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.65vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.77vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.32-0.53vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.45vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-0.09+0.86vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.57-2.46vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.65University of Pennsylvania2.180.3%1st Place
-
3.77University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
-
2.47Cornell University2.320.3%1st Place
-
5.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
5.86Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
3.54Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
4.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Chisari | 28.7% | 24.2% | 20.2% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 11.5% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 23.2% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 4.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 30.6% | 27.3% | 20.1% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 30.0% | 31.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 22.9% | 49.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 14.5% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Brook Wood | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 23.5% | 19.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.