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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+4.30vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.57+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.18-0.36vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.32-1.51vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.20vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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3.53Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Pennsylvania2.180.3%1st Place
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2.49Cornell University2.320.3%1st Place
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4.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.77Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika VanderHorst | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 27.3% | 31.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 14.5% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 3.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 27.4% | 24.2% | 22.5% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 32.2% | 23.9% | 20.0% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Brook Wood | 6.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 22.5% | 21.4% | 10.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 11.3% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 4.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 20.4% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.